Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 13.155190 15.069003 17.111314 19.447059 22.038387 24.819037 28.022262
2025-10-12 10.587573 13.190346 16.155404 19.760445 24.001047 28.806208 34.636902
2025-10-19 8.919404 11.858240 15.377288 19.855531 25.352743 31.828526 39.977283
2025-10-26 7.449159 10.496576 14.310145 19.359084 25.786208 33.608037 43.750640
2025-11-02 6.363241 9.454658 13.480270 19.000339 26.253758 35.332199 47.408791
2025-11-09 5.475512 8.554177 12.715364 18.609126 26.580383 36.811785 50.734582
2025-11-16 4.759308 7.799800 12.056661 18.270586 26.900962 38.235045 53.976910
2025-11-23 4.093510 7.037399 11.305231 17.721464 26.864036 39.136257 56.514031
2025-11-30 3.705926 6.646468 11.041743 17.820280 27.693232 41.193895 60.624756
2025-12-07 3.359082 6.278685 10.773808 17.877757 28.442023 43.142032 64.622785
2025-12-14 3.084204 5.995760 10.605303 18.057804 29.355131 45.328135 68.993785
2025-12-21 2.806857 5.677623 10.351584 18.080930 30.021228 47.168490 72.916781
2025-12-28 2.638958 5.535267 10.372019 18.534499 31.357592 50.028075 78.395879
2026-01-04 2.455812 5.346032 10.298674 18.829097 32.456912 52.571997 83.491937
2026-01-11 2.255230 5.102005 10.111242 18.920360 33.233867 54.652650 87.960634
2026-01-18 1.983539 4.691019 9.601770 18.443232 33.084960 55.332042 90.375451
2026-01-25 1.762689 4.352960 9.190664 18.098504 33.117980 56.268920 93.176559
2026-02-01 1.561882 4.030692 8.779732 17.722628 33.072089 57.067746 95.773597
2026-02-08 1.389437 3.746235 8.413714 17.397407 33.084720 57.943106 98.492749
2026-02-15 1.212070 3.427116 7.953281 16.869982 32.725539 58.209538 100.268055
2026-02-22 1.121062 3.292390 7.840407 16.964884 33.420420 60.160162 104.689123
2026-03-01 1.033968 3.155700 7.711825 17.020087 34.043154 62.005230 108.981474
2026-03-08 0.965503 3.055484 7.649031 17.193018 34.873038 64.202688 113.873840